Five Team Parlay – College Football – Week 9
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It’s that time again, our five-team parlay for college football, Week 9. Last week was ridiculous. Arkansas’ offense set football back 90 years. Oklahoma and Oregon played down to their competition. However, Michigan and the Ohio U versus Akron contest helped us save face, a little. Let’s get down to business.
Indiana (+32) @ #10 Penn State – Hear me out. Penn State will easily win this game. However, they have not beaten any FBS teams by this margin this season. They did beat Iowa by 31, however, they had much lower margins against other weak opponents. The Hoosiers are obviously terrible, but Penn State is coming off their first loss. That tension can often create early-game issues that will help our bottom line. The Lions may feel pressure to blow out Indiana which could take them out of their usual gameplan. We will flirt with the 32, but Penn State’s run-first style will chew large swaths of the clock, reducing the need to throw and score quickly. Look for the Lions to win around 40-10. NOTE: 70% of the money is on Penn State laying ALL those points.
UMASS @ Army (-9.5) – UMASS may be the worst football team I’ve ever seen at the FCS level. They give up almost 250 yards rushing a game. Doesn’t sound like a good quality to have when traveling to a military school. Army has been gross too. However, they’ve kept games close with Boston College and Syracuse, and have shown the ability to play a little defense and pass the ball. This should be low-scoring. Expect UMASS to feel the stress of long Army drives, where they run at will, leading to UMASS’s unforced errors in the second half. I see the cadets winning 24-10 in this one. NOTE: 77% of the public money is on Army and laying the points.
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Boomer Sooner
#6 Oklahoma (-10) @ Kansas – Some people think this is an upset in the making after the Sooners struggled with UCF. I say, “Pump the brakes”, ala Lee Corso. Oklahoma was coming off an emotional win over their heated rival. The upset alert was last week, not this week. Kansas will provide no home-field advantage. The Jayhawks give up tons of points, and the big common opponent (Texas) rolled Kansas. The Sooners need impressive wins, and they should be plenty angry after last week’s scare. Oklahoma has beaten the Jayhawks by 10 or more for 26 straight years. Last year was the 10-point margin I speak of, and Oklahoma had an off-year. Lay the points. NOTES: Oklahoma leads the series 27-6, winning every game since 1997. The public money is split 50/50 on betting networks.
#1 Georgia @ Florida (+14) (Neutral Site) – The largest cocktail party shapes up to be a pretty decent contest. In years past, this was always a toss-up. That was before Georgia became dominant. However, this 14-point line seems steep considering the Dawgs had a less-than-dominant win over lowly Vanderbilt last week. Both teams bring high-profile offenses. Georgia has a slight advantage on defense. For such an intense rivalry, I find the line surprising. Florida hasn’t won, or even kept it close, since the COVID game of 2020. However, this Gators team should be chomping at the bit to prove themselves. I believe they have the advantage at QB and can score points. In the end, I see Georgia winning, but more like 31-20. NOTE: 57% of the public money is on Florida taking the points.
The Final Pick
#8 Oregon @ #13 Utah (OVER 47) – There’s far too much credit being given to Utah’s defense in the o/u line. The Utes had a shootout with USC last week (66 combined). Many would argue Oregon has a better offense than USC and only slightly better defense. Utah’s offense woke up a few weeks ago and has strung together multiple 30+ games recently. Oregon averages in the low 40s, and expect only a small reduction in production. A 30-17 final would push our OVER. Last year was the only game in the past 20 years to fall under 40 total points. That was in terrible weather too. Look for a lower-than-usual score for these teams, but I see a 28-21 game brewing here with Utah’s offensive surge lately. And Oregon needs to impress voters. NOTE: 51% of the public money is betting on Oregon to win by 7 or more.
*These selections are opinion based. Gamble at your own risk.