NFL Week 13 odds
Best bets for Week 13 of the 2023 NFL season
We’re betting with the current NFL Week 13 odds, and if you click the banner above you’ll get a deposit bonus of up to $1,000 to wager!!
Broncos (+3.5) at Texans
The Broncos have been on fire lately, winning five consecutive games, which is their first time doing so since the 2015-16 season. They started the season with a 1-5 record and only had five wins in the previous year’s season of 2022. Currently, they have a 6-5 record and are still very much in contention, aiming to become the fifth team in the Super Bowl era to start with a 1-5 record and still qualify for the playoffs. Sean Payton is also looking to make history by becoming the first coach to take a team to the playoffs after inheriting a team with 12 or more losses from the previous year (the 2005 Saints had a record of 3-13).
Denver Broncos on Twitter: “Rise & shine, #BroncosCountry – it’s GAMEDAY!RT if you’re ready for #DENvsHOU. pic.twitter.com/F0WEkQJfMs / Twitter”
Rise & shine, #BroncosCountry – it’s GAMEDAY!RT if you’re ready for #DENvsHOU. pic.twitter.com/F0WEkQJfMs
This game is of great importance, as per our SportsLine projection model, the Broncos can increase their chances of qualifying for the playoffs by 20% (up to 45%) with a win, while a loss can decrease their odds by 14%. Similarly, the Texans can also improve their playoff chances by winning (68%), and the chances will decrease to 31% if they lose.
Playoff Feel
This game feels like a wild-card game, and the Broncos have been displaying excellent defense lately, only conceding 16 points to the opposing teams in their last five games, compared to their first six games, where they were giving up an average of 33.3 points per game. Russell Wilson is also in top form, playing his best football since leaving Seattle and even before his final season with the Seahawks. Overall, this game is expected to be close, and with Payton’s coaching, the Broncos may have an edge and could even win outright.
Titans (+1.5) vs. Colts
With a 4-7 record, the Tennessee Titans are not in the spotlight when it comes to the AFC playoff race. This is especially true given that the other three teams in the AFC South have a winning record. However, the Titans remain unbeaten at home this season, having defeated the Chargers, Bengals, Falcons and Panthers in Nashville. They have also lost by only one score in three other games.
Titans are still in the mix
This means that the Titans are still in the running for the postseason. Despite having a rookie quarterback and a depleted roster, coach Mike Vrabel is determined to keep his team in the game. Division opponents are no match for Derrick Henry, who has a history of scoring multiple touchdowns late in the year. This week’s home game against the Colts, who have struggled with turnovers, is a good opportunity for Henry to shine once again. The Colts have had trouble defending against bad running teams in recent weeks, so Henry could have a big game.
Panthers (+5.5) at Buccaneers
After the recent firings of Frank Reich, Duce Staley, and Josh McCown, the pressure is on the players to perform well because everyone’s job is on the line. This pattern was evident with the Raiders, and I think it will happen again with the Panthers. The offensive coaches, Thomas Brown and Jim Caldwell should utilize a lot of RPO-style plays to accentuate Bryce Young’s strengths against a Bucs pass defense that has been vulnerable to quarterbacks like Desmond Ridder, C.J. Stroud, Brock Purdy, and Gardner Minshew. Is this going to be Bryce Young’s breakout game?
Rams (-3.5) vs. Browns
Going into the bye week, the Rams had lost three consecutive games and were written off by many. However, the root issue was that Matthew Stafford suffered a thumb injury and Cooper Kupp was battling injuries too. The team’s roster is structured like a Jenga tower, making them vulnerable. Despite this, I have been advocating for their playoff chances over the last couple of weeks and they are now very much in contention.
Los Angeles Rams on Twitter: “Ready to unleash. 😤 pic.twitter.com/itPRgPVBze / Twitter”
Ready to unleash. 😤 pic.twitter.com/itPRgPVBze
Rams with a friendly schedule
Even though they currently have a 5-6 record, the Rams are more likely to make the playoffs than the 6-5 Seahawks due to their friendlier schedule. Kyren Williams has returned, and he looks like the type of running back that this offense desperately needed. Cleveland’s defense is top-notch, and they are a desperate team without a quarterback, with their playoff hopes starting to dwindle. Cleveland has a 68% chance to make the playoffs, but if they lose to the Rams and Jags in the next two weeks, their chances will drop below 50%.
They are not expected to win either game. On Sunday, Aaron Donald is expected to be a thorn in the side of Cleveland’s quarterbacks.
Jaguars (-8.5) vs. Bengals
While the low total in this game is concerning, I am not worried about laying a significant number of points with the Jaguars. The Jaguars appear to be on the upswing, much like they were in the latter half of the previous season. This time around, however, they began with a decent record and are vying for the top seed in the AFC.
Bengals on the downward spiral
The Bengals, on the other hand, are going in the opposite direction. They are starting Jake Browning, coming off a tough loss at home to a division rival, and cannot realistically believe they are still in the hunt for the playoffs. According to our SportsLine projection model, they have less than a 2% chance of making the postseason, despite being only 5-6.
Similarly, the Upshot gives them a 3% chance. With the AFC being too crowded and Joe Burrow out for the season, it is difficult to stage a comeback against a superior team in a raucous atmosphere. Since 2011, the Jaguars have not hosted “MNF,” and the team is good, with the fans expected to be lively. Knowing that their season is effectively over, it is challenging to fight back against a better team.