Five Team Parlay – College Football – Week 6
Keep the five-team parlay hot streak Alive!
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We won $159 in Week 4, and another $206 last week and are ready for week 6. Our college football, five-team parlay is on a hot streak! Unfortunately, yours truly had a guys’ getaway weekend planned and didn’t write an article about it. My winners last week were (all MoneyLines) Texas, Michigan, Georgia, Oregon, Oklahoma, SMU, Alabama, Washington, and Fresno State. Yes, all chalk. Sometimes you have to play the smart money. Let’s dive into my favorite plays this week around the college football betting world.
Top 25 Battles
Maryland (+20) @ #4 Ohio State – This line seems absurd. Both squads have played Indiana, and Maryland scored 21 more points and won by seven more than Ohio State. Common opponents are not always accurate predictors. However, the Terps bring multiple ground and air weapons to a battle of unbeatens teams. The Buckeyes give up 75 yards less a game on defense, but Maryland has had a far tougher schedule. This noon kickoff may take a quarter for the teams to wake up, further helping our cause. With Roman Hemby averaging 4.8 yards per carry, going against a team that was scorched on the ground by Notre Dame, could provide problems for Ohio State. If they focus on the run, Tagovailoa has been playing remarkably at quarterback. The Buckeyes have some punch as well. Henderson can carry the rock with the best of them. The question, again, will be if McCord can find his weapons through the air. Maryland has a stiff pass defense. We see this as a Buckeyes win, but by a margin of 10-17, giving us the victory on the spread. NOTE: 69% of the public money is on Maryland and the points.
Huge SEC Clash
#23 LSU @ #21 Missouri (+4) – We’re taking a dog and the points again here. This game has all the makings for a shootout, and LSU is 1-2 this year in shootouts. Their only win was against Arkansas (34-31) with shootout losses to Florida State (45-24) and Ole Miss (55-49). LSU also gives up 112 more yards per game than Mizzou, and its pass defense is horrific. The only glaring difference between the teams is rush defense. Mizzou only gives up 74.8 per game against the Tigers’ 170, which could force LSU into 3rd and long consistently. LSU has a better strength of schedule, but Missouri’s Cook (QB) is completing 75% of his passes, and Schrader is rushing for 5.7 per carry. Not to mention, Missouri has a home-field advantage and an early game. NOTE: 70% of the public money is on Missouri and the points.
Row the Boat?
#2 Michigan (-18.5) @ Minnesota – Even with this big spread, 76% of the money is on Michigan, and for good reason. There will be no boat rowing Saturday, as Michigan’s two-headed monster of McCarthy and Corum continue to roll and carve up a Gopher defense giving up 130 yards rushing a game. Michigan also beat Nebraska 45-7 last week, a team Minnesota leaked out a victory against, 13-10. Aside from that, the Michigan interior is much more talented and should improve on their stout defense. After what should be plentiful three and outs, this will get out of hand in the second half. NOTE: Michigan leads the all-time series 76-25-3, with 42 wins in the last 46 matchups, the last two by 23 or more.
Non-Ranked Matchups
Boston College @ Army (-2.5) – Have you heard? Army can throw the football now! They average 170 yards a game. Better yet, Boston College’s run defense is mediocre at best, and that typically spells trouble against the academies. These teams have not played since 2013 (BC leads series 25-13), but the last time they played at Army, the Cadets won 34-31 (2012). The times have changed, Bryson Daily leads with his arms and legs. He completes half his passes and averages around 4 yards a carry. The team as a whole gains four yards per carry. On the flip side, the Eagles give up 4.3 yards per carry. This creates a dilemma for BC, load the box and leave receivers open, or play straight up? Now that Army can pass, this creates an advantage for the Cadets. NOTE: 66% of the money is on Boston College.
Western Michigan @ Mississippi State (OVER 57) – Two capable offenses, two miserable defenses. Yes, take the over. I was tempted to take Miss St -20.5, but I am being cautious. While the Dawgs have had a way tougher schedule, their wins didn’t exactly tell me anything. Both teams have put up great numbers, even in most of their losses. I see this as a track meet. Western isn’t really trained for this environment, and the Bulldog fans should be rowdy to try and help their team right the ship. Mississippi State is reeling from three straight losses to SEC teams (Bama, South Carolina, and LSU). NOTE: These teams have never played before this year.
*These are opinion-based bets. No guarantee of success. Bet at your own risk.